Foresight Study on the Influence of ChatGPT In Peruvian Universities Towards 2033
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.34190/ejel.23.2.3837Keywords:
Foresight study, Future scenarios, University, ChatGPTAbstract
This article investigates how the integration of ChatGPT could transform Peruvian universities by 2033. Twenty drivers were identified, including digital competencies, critical thinking, academic performance, and motivation. Using a foresight approach, possible future scenarios were generated. The methodology consists of four stages: (1) Exploration of the system to identify key drivers; (2) Validation of the information by applying the Delphi method in real time to confirm these drivers; (3) Construction of scenarios using Schwartz axes and structural analysis; and (4) Validation of scenarios using the Probability, Desirability and Governance (PDG) method. The analysis revealed that the most important and uncertain drivers are related to 'training in critical thinking, feedback through intelligent tutoring, and the development of technological infrastructure,' located in Schwartz's Quadrant III. These drivers are crucial to building four scenarios, including the target scenario dubbed "Overcoming Challenges with Innovation and Technology".
Downloads
Published
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Mariel Gabriela Muñiz Apaza, Julio César Acosta-Prado, Carlos Guillermo Hernández- Cenzano

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Open Access Publishing
The Electronic Journal of e-Learning operates an Open Access Policy. This means that users can read, download, copy, distribute, print, search, or link to the full texts of articles, crawl them for indexing, pass them as data to software, or use them for any other lawful purpose, without financial, legal, or technical barriers other than those inseparable from gaining access to the internet itself. The only constraint on reproduction and distribution, and the only role for copyright in this domain, is that authors control the integrity of their work, which should be properly acknowledged and cited.